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Analyst Index · Infrastructure & Telecoms

John-David Lovelock

Distinguished VP Analyst, Gartner
72%
Accuracy
4 of 41
Analyst ranking
16
Predictions scored
4
Still to fall due
11 right3 half right1 mostly wrong1 wrong
Scored predictions16
Right · 100%Overall IT ... 2025 Spending 5,540,421 ... 2025 Growth (%) 10 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2025)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2025 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (February 2026 forecast table) put 2025 overall IT spending at $5,555.3bn, up 10.3%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2026 forecast table restates 2025 overall IT spending at $5.58tn, up 10.7%. Level held as stated: $5,540.4bn forecast vs $5,555.3bn first published actual, 0.3% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2024 level implied by the October 2025 table ($5,540.4bn / 1.10). (Stated growth 10% vs first published 10.3%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 9.8% in 2026, Exceeding $6 Trillion Dollars for the First Time (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · near-certain · counts 0.5Forecast $5,540.4bn · actual $5,555.3bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Data Center Systems ... 2025 Spending 474,883 ... 2025 Growth (%) 42.4 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, July 2025)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Jul 2025 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (February 2026 forecast table) put 2025 data-centre systems spending at $496.2bn, up 48.9%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2026 forecast table restates 2025 data-centre systems spending at $506bn, up 51.6%. Level held as stated: $474.9bn forecast vs $496.2bn first published actual, 4.3% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2024 level in the July 2025 table. (Stated growth 42.4% vs first published 48.9%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 7.9% in 2025 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · short-range · counts 0.5Forecast $474.9bn · actual $496.2bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is expected to total $5.43 trillion in 2025, an increase of 7.9% from 2024, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Jul 2025 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (February 2026 forecast table) put 2025 overall IT spending at $5,555.3bn, up 10.3%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2026 forecast table restates 2025 overall IT spending at $5.58tn, up 10.7%. Level held as stated: $5.43tn ($5,435.6bn in the table) forecast vs $5,555.3bn first published actual, 2.2% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2024 level in the July 2025 table. (Stated growth 7.9% vs first published 10.3%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 7.9% in 2025 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · short-range · counts 0.5Forecast $5,435.6bn · actual $5,555.3bnMedium confidence
Wrong · 0%Data center systems spending grew by nearly 35% in 2024. While the segment will not see a jump equal to that in 2025, it is still set to grow by almost $50 billion in 2025Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2024 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (February 2026 forecast table) put 2025 data-centre systems spending at $496.2bn, up 48.9%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2026 forecast table restates 2025 data-centre systems spending at $506bn, up 51.6%. Level held as stated: "almost $50 billion" of growth on $318.0bn, i.e. $367.2bn (the table figure) forecast vs $496.2bn first published actual, 26.0% out, which is Wrong on the level bands (25% or more off; direction earns nothing). Baseline is the 2024 level in the October 2024 table. (Stated growth 15.5% vs first published 48.9%.) Scored as the increment ($50bn vs about $178bn) it is also Wrong. Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 9.3% in 2025 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $367.2bn · actual $496.2bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is expected to total $5.74 trillion in 2025, an increase of 9.3% from 2024, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2024 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (February 2026 forecast table) put 2025 overall IT spending at $5,555.3bn, up 10.3%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2026 forecast table restates 2025 overall IT spending at $5.58tn, up 10.7%. Level held as stated: $5.74tn ($5,747.3bn in the table) forecast vs $5,555.3bn first published actual, 3.5% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2024 level in the October 2024 table. (Stated growth 9.3% vs first published 10.3%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 9.3% in 2025 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $5,747.3bn · actual $5,555.3bnMedium confidence
Half right · 50%Spending on data center systems is expected to increase 24% in 2024, up from the previous quarter's forecast of 10% growth.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Jul 2024 · due Dec 2024

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2025 forecast table) put 2024 data-centre systems spending at $329.1bn, up 39.4%. Later restatement: Gartner's July 2025 table put it at $333.4bn, up 40.3%. Release level governs: the quote gives 24% growth, but the release's Table 1 states 2024 data-centre systems spending of $293.1bn (from a 2023 base of $236.1bn). $293.1bn against the first published $329.1bn (January 2025 table) is 10.9% short, Half right on the 5/10/15/25% level bands. (On growth alone, 24.1% vs 39.4% would be a 15.3-point miss, Wrong.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 7.5% in 2024 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · short-range · counts 0.5Forecast $293.1bn · actual $329.1bnHigh confidence
Mostly wrong · 25%Data Center Systems ... 2024 Spending 260,221 ... 2024 Growth (%) 9.5 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2023)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2023 · due Dec 2024

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2025 forecast table) put 2024 data-centre systems spending at $329.1bn, up 39.4%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2025 forecast table restates 2024 data-centre systems spending at $333.4bn, up 40.3%. Level held as stated: $260.2bn forecast vs $329.1bn first published actual, 20.9% out, which is Mostly wrong on the 5/10/15/25% level bands. Baseline is the 2023 level in the October 2023 table. (Stated growth 9.5% vs first published 39.4%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 8% in 2024 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $260.2bn · actual $329.1bnHigh confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $5.1 trillion in 2024, an increase of 8% from 2023, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2023 · due Dec 2024

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2025 forecast table) put 2024 overall IT spending at $5,114.8bn, up 7.7%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2025 forecast table restates 2024 overall IT spending at $5.04tn, up 7.4%. Level held as stated: $5.1tn ($5,069.8bn in the table) forecast vs $5,114.8bn first published actual, 0.9% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2023 level in the October 2023 table. (Stated growth 8% vs first published 7.7%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 8% in 2024 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $5,069.8bn · actual $5,114.8bnMedium confidence
Half right · 50%Data Center Systems ... 2023 Spending 217,880 ... 2023 Growth (%) -1.5 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, July 2023)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Jul 2023 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2024 forecast table) put 2023 data-centre systems spending at $243.1bn, up 7.1%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2024 forecast table restates 2023 data-centre systems spending at $236.1bn, up 4.0%. Level held as stated: $217.9bn forecast vs $243.1bn first published actual, 10.4% out, which is Half right on the 5/10/15/25% level bands. Baseline is the 2022 level in the July 2023 table. (Stated growth -1.5% vs first published 7.1%; the table implied a fall and spending rose. Later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 4.3% in 2023 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · short-range · counts 0.5Forecast $217.9bn · actual $243.1bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $4.5 trillion in 2023, an increase of 2.4% from 2022, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc. This is down from the previous quarter's forecast of 5.1% growth.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Jan 2023 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2024 forecast table) put 2023 overall IT spending at $4,678.8bn, up 3.3%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2024 forecast table restates 2023 overall IT spending at $4.90tn, up 3.8%. Level held as stated: $4.5tn ($4,491.5bn in the table) forecast vs $4,678.8bn first published actual, 4.0% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2022 level in the January 2023 table. (Stated growth 2.4% vs first published 3.3%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 2.4% in 2023 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $4,491.5bn · actual $4,678.8bnMedium confidence
Half right · 50%Data Center Systems ... 2023 Spending 216,262 ... 2023 Growth (%) 3.4 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2022)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2022 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2024 forecast table) put 2023 data-centre systems spending at $243.1bn, up 7.1%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2024 forecast table restates 2023 data-centre systems spending at $236.1bn, up 4.0%. In between, the July 2023 forecast had cut 2023 to -1.5% and the January 2024 table put it at +7.1%. Level held as stated: $216.3bn forecast vs $243.1bn first published actual, 11.0% out, which is Half right on the 5/10/15/25% level bands. Baseline is the 2022 level in the October 2022 table. (Stated growth 3.4% vs first published 7.1%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 5.1% in 2023 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $216.3bn · actual $243.1bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $4.6 trillion in 2023, an increase of 5.1% from 2022, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2022 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2024 forecast table) put 2023 overall IT spending at $4,678.8bn, up 3.3%. Later restatement: Gartner July 2024 forecast table restates 2023 overall IT spending at $4.90tn, up 3.8%. Level held as stated: $4.6tn ($4,658.4bn in the table) forecast vs $4,678.8bn first published actual, 0.4% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2022 level in the October 2022 table. (Stated growth 5.1% vs first published 3.3%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 5.1% in 2023 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $4,658.4bn · actual $4,678.8bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $4.4 trillion in 2022, an increase of 4% from 2021, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Apr 2022 · due Dec 2022

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2023 forecast table) put 2022 overall IT spending at $4,385.3bn, down 0.2%. Later restatement: Gartner October 2023 forecast table restates 2022 overall IT spending at $4.53tn, up 2.9%. Level held as stated: $4.4tn ($4,431.6bn in the table) forecast vs $4,385.3bn first published actual, 1.1% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2021 level in the April 2022 table. (Stated growth 4% vs first published -0.2%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Reach $4.4 Trillion in 2022 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $4,431.6bn · actual $4,385.3bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Data Center Systems ... 2022 Spending 207,440 ... 2022 Growth (%) 5.8 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2021)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2021 · due Dec 2022

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2023 forecast table) put 2022 data-centre systems spending at $212.4bn, up 12%. Later restatement: Gartner October 2023 forecast table restates 2022 data-centre systems spending at $227.0bn, up 19.7%. The first post-year figure (January 2023 table) was +12.0%, also far above the forecast. Level held as stated: $207.4bn forecast vs $212.4bn first published actual, 2.4% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2021 level in the October 2021 table. (Stated growth 5.8% vs first published 12%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Exceed $4 Trillion in 2022 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $207.4bn · actual $212.4bnHigh confidence
Right · 100%Overall IT ... 2021 Spending 4,241,638 ... 2021 Growth (%) 9.5 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2021)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2021 · due Dec 2021

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2022 forecast table) put 2021 overall IT spending at $4,239.1bn, up 9%. Later restatement: Gartner October 2022 forecast table restates 2021 overall IT spending at $4.40tn, up 10.2%. Level held as stated: $4,241.6bn forecast vs $4,239.1bn first published actual, 0.1% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2020 level in the October 2021 table. (Stated growth 9.5% vs first published 9%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Exceed $4 Trillion in 2022 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · near-certain · counts 0.5Forecast $4,241.6bn · actual $4,239.1bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $4.5 trillion in 2022, an increase of 5.5% from 2021, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2021 · due Dec 2022

What happened. Gartner's first published full-year figure (January 2023 forecast table) put 2022 overall IT spending at $4,385.3bn, down 0.2%. Later restatement: Gartner October 2023 forecast table restates 2022 overall IT spending at $4.53tn, up 2.9%. Level held as stated: $4.5tn ($4,474.2bn in the table) forecast vs $4,385.3bn first published actual, 2.0% out, which is Right under the level bands. Baseline is the 2021 level in the October 2021 table. (Stated growth 5.5% vs first published -0.2%; later Gartner restatements are not used.) Sources: gartner.com, web.archive.org, gartner.com, web.archive.org.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Exceed $4 Trillion in 2022 (Gartner press release)

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $4,474.2bn · actual $4,385.3bnMedium confidence
Still to fall due4 predictions
  1. Dec 2027Worldwide IT spending is expected to reach $7.35 trillion in 2027, up 15% from 2026.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2026 · source
  2. Dec 2026Data Center Systems ... 2026 Spending 582,446 ... 2026 Growth (%) 19 (Table 1, Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, October 2025)Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2025 · source
  3. Dec 2026Worldwide IT spending is expected to total $6.08 trillion in 2026, an increase of 9.8% from 2025, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2025 · source
  4. Dec 2028The demand of GenAI will help nearly triple server sales from 2023 to 2028.Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2024 · source
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