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Ruggero Contu
Analyst Index · Cybersecurity

Ruggero Contu

Senior Director Analyst, Gartner
73%
Accuracy
3 of 14
Analyst ranking
4
Predictions scored
2
Still to fall due
3 right1 mostly right
Scored predictions4
Right · 100%Worldwide end-user spending on information security is projected to reach $213 billion in 2025, up from $193 billion in 2024, according to Gartner, Inc.Cybersecurity · made Jul 2025 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Gartner's later forecast updates put 2025 worldwide information security end-user spending at about $215.5bn (4Q25 update, implied by $244.2bn in 2026 up 13.3%) and $217.7bn (3Q26 update, 24 Sept 2026). The $213.0bn forecast is about 2% below the latest figure. $213.0bn forecast vs $217.7bn in Gartner's 3Q26 update: within 10% of the actual. Sources: softwarestrategiesblog.com, softwarestrategiesblog.com, gartner.com.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Worldwide End-User Spending on Information Security to Total $213 Billion in 2025

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · near-certain · counts 0.5Forecast $213bn · actual $217.7bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Security services including consulting, hardware support, implementation and outsourced services is the largest category of spending, at almost $72 billion in 2022, and expected to reach $76.5 billion in 2023Cybersecurity · made Oct 2022 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's September 2023 forecast put 2023 security services spending at $80.8bn, up 10.1%, on a 2022 base restated to $73.4bn. Gartner's 2024 releases moved to a narrower information security segment structure, so no later same-basis figure was found. $76.5bn forecast vs $80.8bn: about 5% off, within 10%. Sources: gartner.com.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Identifies Three Factors Influencing Growth in Security Spending

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $76.47bn · actual $80.84bnMedium confidence
Mostly right · 75%The combined market for cloud access security brokers (CASB) and cloud workload protection platform (CWPP) will grow 26.8% to reach $6.7 billion in 2023.Cybersecurity · made Oct 2022 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner's September 2023 forecast put 2023 cloud security spending at $5.62bn, up 25.2%; it also restated the 2022 base down from $5.28bn to $4.49bn. Later Gartner releases use a re-based segment structure, so no later 2023 figure on the same basis was found. $6.69bn forecast vs $5.62bn: about 19% off, inside the 25% band. The growth rate (26.8% vs 25.2%) was close; the miss comes from a restated base. Sources: gartner.com.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Identifies Three Factors Influencing Growth in Security Spending

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $6.69bn · actual $5.62bnMedium confidence
Right · 100%Spending on information security and risk management products and services is forecast to grow 11.3% to reach more than $188.3 billion in 2023.Cybersecurity · made Oct 2022 · due Dec 2023

What happened. Gartner put 2023 information security and risk management end-user spending at $185bn in current US dollars (Forecast Analysis, 29 Feb 2024), and at $188.1bn in its September 2023 estimate. $188.3bn forecast vs $185bn reported after the year: about 2% off, within 10%. Sources: gartner.com, gartner.com.

Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Identifies Three Factors Influencing Growth in Security Spending

Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.

Specific · counts 1Forecast $188.3bn · actual $185bnHigh confidence
Still to fall due2 predictions
  1. Dec 2026Security software is the fastest growing segment because more companies continue to move from on-premises to cloud-based systemsCybersecurity · made Jul 2025 · source
  2. Dec 2026Spending is estimated to increase 12.5% in 2026 to total $240 billion.Cybersecurity · made Jul 2025 · source
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