- 59%
- Accuracy
- 7 of 14
- Analyst ranking
- 9
- Predictions scored
- 5
- Still to fall due
Half right · 50%Spending on security services is projected to grow 16.6% in 2025, representing the highest growth among all segments.
What happened. Gartner's October 2025 MENA figures show 2025 security services growth of 11.9%, still the highest of the three segments (software 10.9%, network 9.3%). Services did grow fastest, but at 11.9% against the 16.6% forecast, a 4.7-point miss. Sources: gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Spending on Information Security in MENA to Grow 14% in 2025 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Half right · 50%Information security spending by Middle East and North Africa (MENA) enterprises is projected to total $3.3 billion in 2025, an increase of 14% from 2024.
What happened. Gartner's October 2025 MENA release (3Q25 update) puts 2025 spending at $3,699m, up 10.9%. No later Gartner MENA figure for 2025 was found. Forecast 13.7% growth against Gartner's later 10.9%, a 2.8-point miss. The later figure is itself a late-2025 estimate, and the base was revised sharply upward. Sources: gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Spending on Information Security in MENA to Grow 14% in 2025 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Wrong · 0%In 2025, spending on security services in India is projected to record the highest growth of all segments.
What happened. Gartner's March 2026 figures for India's 2025 spending show security software growing fastest (8.5%), ahead of security services (7.8%) and network security (5.8%). Security services did not record the highest growth; software did. The gap was narrow (0.7 points) but the named outcome did not happen. Sources: cxotoday.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Information Security Spending in India to Grow 17% in 2025 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Mostly wrong · 25%End-user spending on information security in India is forecast to total $3.4 billion in 2025, an increase of 17.1% from 2024.
What happened. Gartner's March 2026 India release puts 2025 information security spending at $3,076m, up 7.9% from 2024. Forecast 17.1% growth against 7.9% in Gartner's own later figures, a 9.2-point miss. The dollar level ($3.39bn vs $3.08bn) was about 10% high. Sources: cxotoday.com, itvoice.in.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Information Security Spending in India to Grow 17% in 2025 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Mostly right · 75%Worldwide end-user spending on information security is projected to total $212 billion in 2025, an increase of 15.1% from 2024.
What happened. Gartner's 3Q26 forecast, as reported by Software Strategies Blog, puts 2024 spending at $192.9bn and 2025 at $217.7bn, growth of about 12.9%. Gartner had already revised 2025 growth down to 10.7% in its June 2025 update. The headline call was 15.1% growth; Gartner's latest figures give about 12.9%, a 2.2-point miss. The dollar level ($212bn vs $217.7bn) landed close, but mainly because 2024 was revised up from $183.9bn to $192.9bn. Sources: softwarestrategiesblog.com, gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Global Information Security Spending to Grow 15% in 2025 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Right · 100%End-user spending on security and risk management (SRM) in India is forecast to total $2.9 billion in 2024, an increase of 12.4% from 2023.
What happened. Gartner's March 2026 India release gives 2025 spending of $3,076m, up 7.9%, which implies 2024 spending of about $2,851m. Gartner changed the market definition in mid-2024, so 2024 growth on the original basis was never published; the level is the closest like-for-like check. Forecast $2.94bn against an implied 2024 actual of about $2.85bn, about 3% out. Scored on level because the growth series was rebased (Gartner's Aug 2024 estimate on the new basis was 17.1% growth for 2024). Sources: cxotoday.com, gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Security and Risk Management Spending in India to Grow 12% in 2024 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Mostly right · 75%End-user spending on security and risk management (SRM) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is forecast to total $3.3 billion in 2024, an increase of 12.1% from 2023.
What happened. Gartner's April 2025 MENA release put 2024 information security spending at $2,893m, up 14.3%. Gartner had narrowed the market definition in between (three segments, consumer security dropped), so the dollar levels are not comparable; the growth rate is. Forecast 12.1% growth against a later Gartner figure of 14.3%, a miss of 2.2 points (too low). Sources: gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Security and Risk Management Spending in MENA to Grow 12% in 2024 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Mostly right · 75%End-user spending on security and risk management in the middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is forecast to total $2.8 billion in 2023, an increase of 10.4% from 2022.
What happened. Gartner's February 2024 MENA release put 2023 security and risk management spending at $2,920m, up 8.6% from 2022. Forecast 10.4% growth against a later Gartner figure of 8.6%, a miss of 1.8 points. Sources: gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Security and Risk Management Spending in MENA to Grow 10% in 2023 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Mostly right · 75%End-user spending on security and risk management in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is forecast to total $2.6 billion in 2022, an increase of 11.2% from 2021.
What happened. Gartner's February 2023 MENA release put 2022 security and risk management spending at $2,519m, up 9.0% from 2021. Forecast 11.2% growth against a later Gartner figure of 9.0%, a miss of 2.2 points. The level ($2.67bn forecast vs $2.52bn) was also within 10%. Sources: gartner.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Gartner Forecasts Security and Risk Management Spending in MENA to Grow 11% in 2022 (Gartner newsroom)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on Gartner’s own figures.
Still to fall due5 predictions
- Dec 2028
By 2028, the market is forecast to reach almost $7.7 billion.
Artificial Intelligence · made Aug 2026 · source - Dec 2027
The market for securing AI is growing rapidly, projected to reach almost $4.8 billion in 2027, a 68.7% increase over 2026.
Artificial Intelligence · made Aug 2026 · source - Dec 2026
In 2026, security software will remain both the largest and fastest growing-segment in India, with spending expected to grow 12.4%.
Cybersecurity · made Mar 2026 · source - Dec 2026
End-user spending on information security in India is projected to total $3.4 billion in 2026, an increase of 11.7% from 2025.
Cybersecurity · made Mar 2026 · source - Dec 2026
End-user spending on information security in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is projected to reach $4 billion in 2026, an increase of 10.1% from 2025.
Cybersecurity · made Oct 2025 · source