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Analyst Index · Artificial Intelligence

Jim McGregor

Founder and Principal Analyst, Tirias Research
41%
Accuracy
37 of 41
Analyst ranking
3
Predictions scored
5
Still to fall due
1 mostly right2 wrong
Scored predictions1
Wrong · 0%And sometime early next year, Tirias Research expects Microsoft support for both desktop and mobile PCs using discrete graphics processing units (GPUs).Infrastructure & Telecoms · made Oct 2024 · due Dec 2025

What happened. Copilot+ PC status still required a 40+ TOPS NPU through 2025. Microsoft only began letting Copilot+ language-model features run on discrete GPUs (Nvidia RTX 30-series and later) in June 2026, and then only experimentally, through a Windows Insider experimental channel with developer mode on. Nothing happened in 2025. The only movement was an experimental GPU path in mid-2026, which did not make discrete-GPU PCs Copilot+ PCs. If Jay treats the 2026 test as the event, the year-call rule would give Half right. Sources: tomshardware.com, geektopia.es, tomshardware.com.

Source: The AI PC Revolution Is Just Beginning (Forbes) · 'next year' rule

Specific · counts 1Medium confidence
Still to fall due2 predictions
  1. Dec 2028Tirias Research forecasts 2028 data center power consumption of close to 4,250 megawatts, a 212X increase over 2023Infrastructure & Telecoms · made May 2023 · source
  2. Dec 2028Tirias Research forecasts that on the current course, generative AI data center server infrastructure plus operating costs will exceed $76 billion by 2028Infrastructure & Telecoms · made May 2023 · source
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