- 53%
- Accuracy
- 30 of 50
- Analyst ranking
- 4
- Predictions scored
- 4
- Still to fall due
Right · 100%IT spending set to reach $4.25 trillion this year.
What happened. This December 2025 release is the first IDC full-year 2025 figure found: 14% growth to $4.25tn. No later IDC restatement was found. Made in the last month of the year it forecasts, so the outcome was close to certain; it matches IDC's first published full-year figure. Baseline implied by the stated 14% growth. Sources: idc.com.
Paraphrased. Source: Worldwide IT Market on Course for Strongest Performance Since 1996 (IDC press release, bylined Stephen Minton)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on IDC’s own figures.
Wrong · 0%we are expecting about 20% revenue growth in server and storage spending this year, on the heels of the 50+% growth that we saw last year.
What happened. IDC's server tracker put 2025 server revenue at a record $444.1bn, up 80.4% on 2024, and IDC's December 2025 IT spending release said service-provider datacenter infrastructure spending (server/storage and network) would rise 86% in 2025. No published IDC server-plus-storage total was found, but servers alone grew about four times the forecast rate. Forecast about 20% growth vs roughly 80% for servers (the bulk of server/storage spending): missed by far more than 10 points. Scope is not exactly like for like (servers only), but no plausible storage figure closes the gap. Sources: idc.com, idc.com.
Source: Navigating The Impact of The March 4th Tariffs on IT Spending (IDC blog)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on IDC’s own figures.
Half right · 50%IDC's baseline IT forecast is currently at 9% IT spending growth in 2025, with a prolonged trade war downside scenario of 4% growth.
What happened. IDC's December 2025 release put 2025 worldwide IT spending growth at 14%, to $4.25tn, the fastest since 1996. Forecast 9% vs IDC's first full-year figure of 14%: 5 points under, the edge of the Half right band. Sources: idc.com.
Source: Navigating The Impact of The March 4th Tariffs on IT Spending (IDC blog)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on IDC’s own figures.
Mostly right · 75%Worldwide Total ICT Spending is expected to grow +7.8%, reaching $6.57 trillion in 2025.
What happened. IDC's December 2025 release (the first full-year 2025 figure found) said total ICT spending, including telecom and business services, "will reach almost $7 trillion this year". Level held as stated: $6.57tn vs "almost $7tn", about 6% short, inside the 10% band. If "almost" means about $6.9tn the gap is under 5% and it would be Right. Baseline is implied by the stated 7.8% growth. Sources: idc.com.
Source: The Early Days of the New US Administration (IDC blog)
Caveat. No independent evidence available. Scored on IDC’s own figures.
Still to fall due4 predictions
- Dec 2026
IDC forecasts that IT spending will increase by 10% in 2026, slower than 2025 but still representing one of the strongest years for the industry since the 1990s.
Leadership & GTM · made Dec 2025 · source - Dec 2024
IT spending worldwide should grow by about 8 percent in 2024, following a smaller hike in 2023.
Leadership & GTM · made Aug 2023 · source - Dec 2023
The most significant impact remains concentrated in consumer markets with consumer IT spending now forecast to decline by 2% this year.
Leadership & GTM · made Apr 2023 · source - Dec 2023
IDC projects overall growth this year in constant currency of 4.4% to $3.25 trillion.
Leadership & GTM · made Apr 2023 · source